Foreign Policy Corner with John Batchelor thread.

nikoloslvy

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Foreign Policy Corner with John Batchelor.

A thread designed to inform you of the latest interviews on the John Batchelor show. You can not be up on whats going on in the world without listening to this program :)

[video=youtube;ObnboYi9ik8]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ObnboYi9ik8[/video]

Monday summary: Monday 905P Eastern Time*(605P Pacific Time):** Bill Roggio, LongWarJournal, in re: **Detainee in Iraq Poses a Dilemma as U.S. Exit Nears. PM al-Maliki in Washington. *Ali Moussa Dakdouk, Lebanese associated with al Quds Force, went to Iraq to set up the Hezbollah in Iraq; worked with Mahdi Army to kidnap and execute five US soldiers. Maliki doing deals, probably will release Dakdouk. FBI is putting together a case against him, perhaps prosecute in the US, US Senators want him in Guantanamo, president refuses. Nobody knows what'll *happen to this guy; he'll probably be left in Iraq and cut free. *Iraq has executed several Tunisians for terrorism; will it have the will to prosecute this person? *Also, the RQ-170 Sentinel, nick-named The Beast of Kandahar. *Also, truck route from Pakistan to Afghanistan still closed; trucks being torched, Pakistan says it'll be closed for a long time. Really sensitive material easily could be looted, s is flown in. *Also, Shamsi Air base: personnel evacuated (70 persons flown out); operations shut down. Seem t be burning eqpt on the tarmac. *US leaves, leaving behind a deliberate murderer of Americans.
 

nikoloslvy

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[video=youtube;Lk065ALasXM]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lk065ALasXM[/video]



http://india.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/11/in-india-free-speech-with-limits/

Wednesday 1035P Eastern (735P Pacific Time): Nilanjana Roy, contributor to the India Ink blog, in re: In India, free speech with limits. The meaning of "free speech" has been a bit murky in India; the courts are pro-active in defense, the politicians are not. Internet. The concept is as well-rooted here as in some other places. Historically, restrictions may have bee to prevent "hate speech" that could generate violence, but in recent decades, groups can threaten communal riots in order to shut down free speech. "Heart of India" banned in 1959. Internet today: April 2011 govt introduced rules to perform a sort of pre-censorship. Anyone can file a complaint, then the ISP must block. We have a Ministry that's arrogated to itself excessive, perhaps unconstitutional, powers. TV, cable, movies: relatively open creative freedom, even in comparison to fifteen years ago. Film, art, books are doing well; but things are easy to shut down if you play the "offense" card. Tyranny of a small but vocal minority. Kashmir: insurgency and a civil war; coverage of Maoist insurgency and Kashmir conflict is "not welcome in India." We need to have a certain base in democracy. "People shouldn't be offending gods and high dignitaries on Internet"!
 

nikoloslvy

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[video=youtube;wqBJHZCmEnI]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wqBJHZCmEnI[/video]



http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2074129/Chinese-village-Wukan-riots-b...

Wednesday 1020P Eastern (720P Pacific Time): Gordon Chang, in re; Chinese villages raising their hands in a fist in rage against a police murder. WUKAN on twitter. In mid-September, villagers protested the theft of their land by officials. Villagers apptd reps to speak with officials - who were grabbed in a police raid and he died in police custody. Relatives saw his body, which had been tortured. Officials have fled, there's not official leaders hip in Wukan; the villagers are running it themselves; "We're doing a better job than the CP, why do we need those guys?" An insurrection. What began as opposition to a land grab has now become a major issue of justice. revolts are growing violent. this is even more than the "Jasmine revolution" of the spring of 2011. (In East Europe, it fell from the top.) "Rebel Chinese village of Wukan 'has food for ten days'" This is a nation of farmers - how is my land, and will it rain today? This is the way dynasties have fallen. Mao surprised everyone by resting power on the peasants; today, the Party is represented most strongly by the superrich. Wen is afraid to go to Tibet because of possible demos i Nepal; here, they fear the peasantry. Once people no longer fear tyrants, what can he do?
 

afternoonquil

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#5
Tsss he should get like his own pad or sumptin.
 

nikoloslvy

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[video=youtube;1h6cPak5t5Q]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1h6cPak5t5Q[/video]



Wednesday 905P Eastern Time (605P Pacific Time): Lobsang Nyandak Zayul, Representative of His Holiness the Dalai Lama to the Americas, in re: JB: The all-powerful Wen Jia-bao has cancelled his trip to Tibet as he fears demonstrations in Nepal. Such is the nature of tyrannies: fear of the people. LNZ: First time a top Communist leader cancels a visit of this ilk. Twelve religious have self-immolated in protest of Chinese abuse; His Holiness the Dalai Lama recalls what Mao said: Where there is repression there is dissent. Communists blame us, and the monks's and nuns's family; and blame them for inflicting pain on themselves. Under Chinese hegemony, Tibetans are becoming a minority in their own country. Are discouraged from using their own language. What dismays us is a lack of world attention to the sufferings of the Tibetan people - perhaps the least-covered story of 2011 is the self-immolations of young nuns and monks. In the video, the Chinese soldiers hauled out Tibetan civilians and beat them and abused them in the snow. Same tactics used against Uyghurs, Mongolians, "small nationalities" around China. His Holiness visited Washington and met with members of Congress who are very sympathetic; what we look forward to is translating the sympathy into strong support. JB: This is not an internal matter; China invaded and conquered Tibet illegally.
 

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[video=youtube;OFaBqtISgzE]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OFaBqtISgzE[/video]



Wednesday 1005P Eastern (705P Pacific Time): Naomi Rovnick, , in re: the Taiwanese presidential election. The free people of Taiwan are having and election, Ma Ying-jeou, KuoMinTang, vs. Tsai Ing-wen, Democratic Peoples Party. Mainland's Taiwan Affairs Department threatens to damage Taiwanese investments in Mainland if the DPP wins. DPP has been giving out real piggy banks, and 50,000 people rallied on Saturday to show that they were donating. Both TW and China are Confucian; the people at hte bottom are not invited to give their opinions; what the piggy banks show is that even a small donation is signiificant. Now Beijing threatens: if the DPP doesn't change it's stance, Beijing will retaliate. Note that all the processors fro iPhones and other mechanisms are made in Taiwan. Cross-straits economic collaborations is important - Apple, HP, Dell, and others. GC: One of my law clients was Taiwanese and worked in Shanghai because he was shocked at the bad behavior of the Communist Party. Going back to 1996, Communist threats haven't worked too well against Taiwanese people. Tsai has excellent economics credentials, being a graduate of Cornell and London School of Economics.
 

nikoloslvy

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#8
[video=youtube;YVmxpWw6ii8]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YVmxpWw6ii8[/video]
 

nikoloslvy

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[video=youtube;A_k0uZ0HnhQ]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_k0uZ0HnhQ[/video]

Thursday 920P Eastern Time: Bill Roggio, Long War Journal.
 

nikoloslvy

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[video=youtube;B1U0cV50ALA]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B1U0cV50ALA[/video]

Thursday 1005P (705P Pacific Time): Malcolm Hoenlein, in re: Khamenei has arrested his own son as it's thought that the explosion at the missile plant was intended as an assassination attack. Major military drill to practice closing the Strait of Hormuz (20% of the world's oil). Iranian citizens are applying for foreign visas and effecting money transfers at a vastly increased rate. Iran arrests many "Zionist spies." Crowing about downing of RQ170 drone. Europe reports that Iran will create a museum of downed spy drones. Have four Israeli and three US craft. Iraqi Shi'ites now expressing concern abt Iranian influence in Iraq. Mtg, Prince Naif (heir-apparent to kingship and Min of Interior) and IRGC Intelligence chief in Riyadh (two intense enemies), perhaps anent US withdrawal from Iraq, plus events inBahrain. Growing concern that Assad could trigger major assaults that wd bolster Iran's position in the region.

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/front...7/the-man-in-the-shadow-mojtaba-khamenei.html
 

nikoloslvy

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[video=youtube;je63vnfe2aM]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=je63vnfe2aM[/video]


Thursday 1020P (720P Pacific Time): . Harold Rhode, Hudson Institute, in re: Iranians mock Pres Obama for begging for the RQ170 Sentinel drone. His supplication is shameful; the moment you beg someone in the Middle East, they see you as weak and kick you, pounce. Cartoon: big Iranian foot kicking Obama's face as a tinyObama begs. Ghastly. Better: you'll return the drone by X time (some number of hours from now), or Y will occur. Important for us to do it. When Iranians see Obama grovelling, they think the US can't help

This is not a government of normal Muslims or real Iranians, or even a cult; the ayatollahs are a gang of pirates who'v highjacked Iran. The head of Shi'ism in Iraq, Ayatollah Sistani, says no politics are acceptable till the Twelfth Imam - the messiah - appears; even Khomeini said this. Everyone's worried about the Teheran mullahs. The IRGC plays a decisive role, being the real rulers of Iran right now. Lots of fear at he top levels of govt; supposed plot to kill Khamenei; widespread alarm. Mobilizing the people: in 1978, I lived through the early stages of that revolution - people must believe they have a chance to overthrow the tyrants and replace them with real leaders, and this can best be assisted by support from the outside world.. Comparable to Syria, where Assad hasn't the ability to overcome. Split between Ahmadinejad and Khamenei.
 

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[video=youtube;W_hNAuDUtTk]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W_hNAuDUtTk[/video]


http://www.nypdshield.org/public/SiteFiles/documents/NYPD_Report-Radicalizati...

http://www.amazon.com/dp/0812244028/?tag=wackbagcom-20

Thursday 1035P (735P Pacific Time): .Mitch Silber, co-author, NYPD: Radicalization in the West, a home-grown threat (nypd.org), and Director of Intelligence Analysis for the New York Police Department, in re: as we sit here in New York, we have to assume that al Qaeda is coming again, and again, and again. Question: to be a home-grown terrorist, do you need outside training? No - it's all on the Internet now.Inspire magazine, an al Q Internet publication, they say, don't try to come to the Arabian peninsula - you'll get caught. Since 9/11, it's become ore complicated for intell; diversified, disaggregated - AQIM, AQAP, al Shebaab, TTP - Turkish Taliban (Times Square bomber). Jose Pimintel makes a bomb in his apartment in the Bronx. Fed govt often says, "It's a lone operative" - then we find that that's not the case. Even if they act as a solitary person, they're usu part of an online community. Radicalization occurs as part of a group dynamic. In New York City, often see heavily-armed ,mitary. Needed at mass-transportation hubs, establish what looks like deterrence. Hercules deployments; 70 police cars with lights and sirens. No significant threat through Grand Central for a long time. Al Qaeda sent someone to do recon on Brooklyn Bridge; because of huge show of force there, he sent msg to Khalid Sheikh Mohammed: The weather's too hot on the bridge." Need to maintain this vigilance esp in and out of Manhattan: last Sept 11 there was a high threat vs New York and all the stops were pulled out; invariably, there's a connection to New York City. trial at Federal Courthouse for Khalid Sheikh Mohammed: no change in our position on this [as in, NO]. NYPD has to follow the Constitution precisely and at the same time protect all our citizens. We think everything we've done has been wholly above-board, and we have a robust in-house review system.
 

nikoloslvy

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#13
[video=youtube;PEqXOjdLfRE]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PEqXOjdLfRE[/video]

Thursday 1050P (750P Pacific Time): .Malcolm Hoenlein, in re: In the ummah, there's one nation; all the rest are tribes. Salafists, party Al Noor (The Light) won 24% in voting; have the majority of seats; in Egypt: want to grab reins of control, impose Nineteenth Century strictures, to have no smoking or drinking in the country; also to separate Christian youth. They have unltd funds to offer free or cheap medical care and other support; govt can't compete. Eric Traeger interviews Salafists. Deterioration in the Sinai - al Q and Iranians there, govt again can't root them out. Salafist govtl control could spread across the Mahgreb (Libya to Morocco and Mauritania).

Southern Lebanon: French and others, serving ineffectively, are now threatening to pull out. Hizb money laundered via a Canadian bank, used cars shipped to W Africa, cash sent to Lebanon/Hizb. Less money and more weapons from Iran to Lebanon.

In Netherlands, Parliament discusses: UNRWA challenged, because third-generation of refugees is not managing the refugee problem.
 

nikoloslvy

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#14
[video=youtube;akLp45K5Qrw]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=akLp45K5Qrw[/video]

Media bias Israel
Thursday 1120P (820P Pacific Time): .Shraga Simmons, expert on media bias relating to the Mideast conflict and author, David & Goliath, the explosive story of media bias in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, in re: Holiday season when the media focusses on Christians in Bethlehem; Israelis bld fence far from the Church of the Nativity to protect pilgrims, then Reuters writes, "Israel divides Bethlehem." Media not only reports events but shapes policy. Tom Friedman's ludicrous article yesterday. Faux-tography: Israel has a free press, but not so in Palestinian ares, where there's a spat of kidnapping, fatwas vs jouralists, BBC and other journos held captive for months and years - does a journalist want to end u on YouTube with a chainsaw going through his neck? In Gaza, agencies have to rely on Arab stringers to get reports. Ninety per cent of the reports ad photos are coming from Arab areas are provided by Arabs.
 

nikoloslvy

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[video=youtube;I4Nmrgvierc]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I4Nmrgvierc[/video]

Thursday/Fri 1205A (905 Pacific Time): .Reza Kahlili. author, A Time to Betray, in re: Iran starts a drone museum; Iran imports ballistic missiles from China and North Korea tech sources.

http://atimetobetray.com/
 

nikoloslvy

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[video=youtube;WJPp6Gsd2Ho]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WJPp6Gsd2Ho[/video]

China Navy & Seychelles
Thursday/Fri 1220A (920 Pacific Time): .Rick Fisher, International Assessment and Strategy Center, in re: China projects plan to Seychelles, power in Indian Ocean.
 

nikoloslvy

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#17
[video=youtube;sHrlyPb8ihs]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sHrlyPb8ihs[/video]


Friday 905P Eastern Time: .John Bolton, AEI, in re: the end of the Iraq war: lessons learned
 

nikoloslvy

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#18
[video=youtube;GA3_jsdz2Lk]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GA3_jsdz2Lk[/video]

Friday 1135P (835P Pacific Time): .Jed Babbin, author, in re: protesting the NYT Pulitzer Prize on retired Pentagon briefers, now cleared of wrongdoing during Iraq war

http://www.pulitzer.org/archives/8338
 

nikoloslvy

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#19
[video=youtube;LXzr3mwxYeg]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LXzr3mwxYeg[/video]
 

nikoloslvy

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#21
American prisoner Amir Mirzaei Hekmati.

[video=youtube;LXtt1XowfiU]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LXtt1XowfiU[/video]
 

ShooterMcGavin

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#22
Had no idea this was such a popular show. Lot of responses in this thread.
 

nikoloslvy

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#23
We report...you respond to the thread.

Wednesday/Thurs 1205A Eastern (905 Pacific Time): Reza Kahlili, A Time to Betray, in re: assassination in Tehran; regime will retaliate.

[video=youtube;A6SL2PzT4wE]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A6SL2PzT4wE[/video]
 

nikoloslvy

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Wednesday 1105P Eastern (805P Pacific Time): John Bolton, AEI, in re: Pres Obama shows weakness to Iran
[video=youtube;K7CP0i_ss7s]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K7CP0i_ss7s[/video]

Iran's ayatollahs are again testing US resolve.

http://www.aei.org/article/foreign-...rans-ayatollahs-are-again-testing-us-resolve/

John R. Bolton | Washington Examiner
January 09, 2012.

Iran's threats to close the vital Strait of Hormuz, its naval exercises in nearby waters, and the ominous increase in tensions over its nuclear weapons program all point to a dangerous year ahead.
Even worse, Iran's belligerent rhetoric and behavior today only foreshadow its behavior once it becomes a nuclear weapon-armed state.
Iran undoubtedly wants to avoid further economic sanctions, and is threatening the weak and unstable global economy to magnify the potential effect of any interruption in vital oil shipments from the Gulf region.

But more importantly, Tehran is testing Western resolve, especially Washington's, as it draws ever closer to a nuclear capacity.
How should America respond? As the U.S. Fifth Fleet did, saying "any disruption will not be tolerated." Significantly, however, President Obama has not spoken, once again signaling to the ayatollahs that his heart just isn't into standing up to them.
The president's continuing lack of leadership in response to Iran's saber rattling brings to mind the October 1961 Berlin Crisis. There, just a few months after the communists began constructing the Berlin Wall to stop the hemorrhaging of refugees from East Germany, a confrontation developed at the Cold War's iconic Checkpoint Charlie, located between the U.S. and Soviet sectors in Berlin.
American Patton tanks, armed and ready, stood tube to tube with Soviet tanks just a few yards away, as Berliners and the world held their breath. At one point, President Kennedy telephoned his personal representative in Berlin, Gen. Lucius Clay, hero of the 1948-49 Berlin Airlift, to hear Clay's assessment.
Kennedy closed their conversation by saying, "Don't lose your nerve." Clay famously shot back: "Mr. President, we're not worried about our nerves. We're worrying about those of you people in Washington."
Iran today may not be equivalent to the Soviet Union in 1961, but then again, Barack Obama is no John F. Kennedy. Iran will be watching every American reaction, especially as it sees the European Union once again on the verge of opening negotiations over the nuclear weapons program.
The Tehran regime has made incalculable progress over the past decade by using the European obsession, shared in many U.S. circles, that there is some satisfactory negotiated settlement to Iran's nuclear aspirations.
While the prior negotiations droned on inconclusively, Iran gained precious time to advance its nuclear weapons program, enhance its political legitimacy by appearing diplomatically "reasonable," and fend off stricter sanctions. Every indication is that Iran will unlimber this successful strategy yet again.
Iran's ingenious, decade-long response to the West's naivete reveals the basic flaw in the whole sanctions approach, especially Obama's. Economic sanctions against Iran were once intended to force it to give up its nuclear weapons program, but now the president's aim is for sanctions simply to get Iran back to the negotiating table.
And once there, what will happen? The race, on the one hand, between Iran's scientific and technological progress toward achieving a deliverable nuclear weapons capability, and, on the other, the possibility that diplomacy or sanctions can stop Iran from achieving that objective, is now in its final stages.
It has long been clear that, absent regime change in Tehran, peaceful means will never persuade or prevent Iran from reaching its nuclear objective, to which it is perilously close.
Indeed, viewed dispassionately, advocating diplomacy or sanctions, and believing they will actually impede Iran's nuclear program, simply provides cover for Iran to do just that.
Unfortunately, Iran is paying attention to Obama's weakness, and the weakness of the Europeans, not to the Fifth Fleet's unequivocal statements. Once again, as in Berlin in 1961, it is those nerves back in Washington we should be worrying about.
John R. Bolton is a senior fellow at AEI