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Hillary Clinton WINS New Hampshire

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by MJMANDALAY, Jan 9, 2008.


    MJMANDALAY Registered User

    Jan 26, 2005
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    Voters in New Hampshire weren’t wrong about who they wanted to be the next Democratic presidential nominee, but the pundits, pollsters and even the campaigns completely missed the mark in the run-up to Tuesday’s vote.

    Borrowing from an old and familiar playbook, Hillary Clinton pulled off an unexpected win in New Hampshire after five days of slipping poll numbers, accusations of feigned tears and low turnout at campaign events.

    Throughout the voting day, exit polling offered no solid evidence to suggest that Barack Obama wouldn’t walk away the victor, besting the former first lady twice in a week, and catapulting him into history as the first African American ever to win the New Hampshire primary.

    But as the counting came to a close on Wednesday morning, Clinton had scored 39 percent and more than 110,000 votes in an election with record turnout. Obama nipped at her heels, getting 36 percent of the total, but never once passing Clinton during the night-long count.

    Even before the race was called Tuesday night, the narrative told a new tale, with some of those same pundits who had predicted disaster for Clinton now parsing the results by suggesting New Hampshire voters are notoriously unpredictable or Obama’s message of “change” didn’t resonate with Granite Staters the way it had in Iowa.

    Throughout the new storyline, however, Clinton herself was credited with the unexpected turnaround.

    “I have seen candidates who face defeat and sort of give up, and you see candidates who face defeat and, you know, keep fighting,” said Democratic strategist and FOX News contributor Susan Estrich. “She kept fighting.”

    Clinton’s pivotal moment can be marked at a point less than 24 hours before the voting began, say several political observers who traced it to a campaign stop in Portsmouth. It was there the New York senator’s voice took on a feminine vulnerability after she was asked to respond to a question about how she copes with the hectic schedule.

    “This is very personal for me,” Clinton answered her questioner in a soft, weepy voice. “It’s not just political, it’s not just public. I see what’s happening, we have to reverse it.”

    That response led the top of the newscasts around the nation Monday night. While people watched with mixed reactions, for many, Clinton suddenly stopped being a calculating, power-hungry cyclops and took on actual humanity.

    “Hillary Clinton shows some emotion and (people) say, wait a minute, the ice queen is melting and there is a real person inside,” said Juan Williams, FOX News contributor and correspondent for National Public Radio.

    For some candidates, “you finally find the right sensation within you and you start to communicate to people and that’s what happened to Hillary yesterday and the day before,” said Clinton adviser Lanny Davis.

    But not everyone credits the election day bounce to Clinton’s “reverse Ed Muskie moment” — the description given to the emotional episode because it seemed to have the opposite effect on Clinton as crying did on the 1972 Democratic front-runner whose campaign was buried when he lamented personal attacks on his wife.

    “She pretended to cry, the women felt sorry for her and they went for her,” said Dick Morris, a former Bill Clinton adviser and current FOX News contributor

    Morris said he thinks Clinton’s well of support came from working people, women and seniors, who believed in Clinton’s expertise in the areas of health care and education, and he suggested that in the last few days Clinton was able to drive those points home on the trail and in a televised debate.

    “She showed a capacity to take a punch that was extraordinary,” Morris said. “I have never seen a comeback like this in my entire political life. … And I gotta say that this means, I think, that she’s going to win” the Democratic nomination.

    FOX News exit polls show Clinton did win over voters earning less than $50,000 as well as those who said experience was the quality they most valued in a candidate.

    Click here to look at the FOX News New Hampshire Democratic exit polls.

    Women also went for Clinton 47 percent to 34 percent over Obama (though men strongly supported the Illinois senator). Some of that support for Clinton may have come after Obama and John Edwards tag-teamed Clinton in the weekend debate. The data indicate Clinton managed to grab a lot of voters who made up their minds in the last 24 hours.

    On top of that, the youth vote did not come out as strongly for Obama as expected, the data show, and some analysts suggested that independents, who can vote in either party’s primary, chose to vote in the Republican race in greater numbers than expected, giving John McCain his victory over Mitt Romney but leaving Obama short several thousand votes.

    “The pundits got it wrong, the pollsters got it wrong … the voters crossed everyone out,” said Bill Kristol, FOX News contributor and editor of The Weekly Standard.

    Every major poll taken in the week between the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire found Obama in the lead by no less than five points. Even the early results from the FOX News exit polls hinted at a strong night for Obama. Among independent voters – who made up 43 percent of the New Hampshire electorate – 41 percent went to Obama compared to 34 percent for Clinton.

    Democrats also reported strongly that they were seeking change in their nominee – a theme that was supposed to be Obama’s strong suit. Those who said it was the most important issue went decidedly for Obama.

    But perhaps most telling about the surprise victory were the responses from Clinton supporters like former Democratic National Campaign Committee Chairman Terry McAuliffe, who admitted he had been wringing his hands all day, worried about a potential defeat.

    “I was anxious. Going on your show and others all day with people saying we were going to lose by 15 points would give you heartburn, you know,” McAuliffe told FOX News. “It’s a big deal for Hillary Clinton. Voters saw the contrasts in the debates, they saw her in a human moment. I had faith in Hillary Clinton.”

    Of course, it may never be clear whether Clinton indeed benefited from low expectations. While she is still the national front-runner, the campaign’s decision to take on new staff — former high-level advisers to Bill Clinton — no longer appears to be a matter of crisis management.

    “We have plenty of money, we’ve got millions in the bank … we’re in for the long haul,” McAuliffe said. “We’re going to have a lot more top level advisers coming in and helping this campaign as we move to the next phase, which is really February 5th.”
  2. Your_Moms_Box

    Your_Moms_Box Free Shit / Socialism 2016

    Dec 20, 2004
    Likes Received:
    Fuck New Hampshire.

    so the bitch cried and the old crones voted for her.

    I still support Obama
  3. Myhairygrundle

    Myhairygrundle Screw you guys, I'm going home.

    Jul 16, 2005
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    Obama...President of hittin' that ass!


  4. PartyRock24

    PartyRock24 Lingering Longer since summer of '06

    May 23, 2007
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    Anyone But Hillary Clinton-
  5. Stormrider666

    Stormrider666 Hell is home.

    Mar 19, 2005
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    QFT. I watched Obama's concession speech, and even in defeat, he sounded more positive than Hiliary in victory.
  6. Earth2murf

    Earth2murf HATES EVERYONE!!!

    Apr 2, 2005
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  7. BIV

    BIV I'm Biv Dick Black, the Over Poster.

    Apr 22, 2002
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    I'm starting to lean that way myself....but only because Ron Paul is fading.
  8. Stormrider666

    Stormrider666 Hell is home.

    Mar 19, 2005
    Likes Received:
    It may just be me, but Romney reminds of a used car salesman.

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