First polls close in a few hours. Ohio results should start rolling in at 7:30. 270towin has a good poll closing-time chart. Wackbag Election-Related Threads The Generic Voter Fraud Thread Check-in After You Vote Thread State/Local Issues Thread PotUS: What It's Like To Lose 270towin Maps Thread
So Nate Silver is predicting that Obama will win Florida by a gnat's ass, possibly not at all, and potentially kick off Election 2000 Part II, Electric Jigaboo? Hmm, what'd Nate's model say about that possibility, huh? How can I tell who is "winning?" This is like MNF without the scoreboard now.
What's the backtracking? He's had FLA light-red in Romney's favor for a long time, he's just changed it now.
Guy who nailed the 08 election, uses state polls to gauge the election. Stats guy who developed PECOTA in MLB Hated by Republicans because he's predicted the election for Obama (313-225). Nobody can really say why he's "Shit", just that he's Obama biased. Even though he just uses numbers...
He's using 2008 democrat plus turnout numbers that aren't anywhere near accurate this year. How's that for a reason why he's shit? Specific enough for you? Democrat plus 7 in 2008 is probably going to be dead even or Republican plus 1 this year.
He's never had FLA in Obama's favor, I believe. It just changed today, literally from "light red" to "light blue"
Disclaimer: If Obama manages to eek out a win...I may be drinking even heavily more than I have been...so I apologize in advance to the Wackbag mods and all posters.
