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PotL Summer Movies 2013- What Will Be The Pick of the Litter?

Discussion in 'Movies & TV' started by LiddyRules, Dec 11, 2012.

  1. LiddyRules

    LiddyRules I'm Gonna Be The Bestest Pilot In The Whole Galaxy

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    So with a bunch of trailers coming out over the past few days, it got me thinking- which will be the big summer movie for 2013? Not which one you're most looking forward too, but which would make the most money.


    May:
    Iron Man 3 - May 3
    The Great Gatsby- May 10
    Star Trek Into Darkness (a terrible title I think)- May 17
    Epic (animated)- May 24
    Fast and Furious 6- May 24
    The Hangover Part III- May 24

    June
    After Earth (Shylaman/Smiths on desolate Earth)- June 7
    Man of Steel- June 14
    Monsters University- June 21
    World War Z- June 21
    Kick-Ass 2- June 28
    White House Down (the first of two kidnapped President movies, this one starring Channing Tatum, Jaime Foxx, and Maggie Gyllenhaal)- June 28


    July
    Despicable Me 2- July 3
    Lone Ranger- July 3 (I didn't realize that DM2 is coming out the same day)
    Grown Ups 2- July 12
    Pacific Rim- July 12
    RIPD (Ryan Reynolds, Jeff Bridges are recently slain cops fighting the undead)- July 19
    The Wolverine- July 26
    The Smurfs 2- July 31

    And I am only including major possible box office busters on the list, not smaller movies like Now You See Me about magician bank robbers starring Social Network, Alfred Pennyworth, Lucius Fox, and Bruce Banner III. (Which I kind of want to see)

    As for which of these movies I think will be the King of Summer- this might be a controversial choice, but right now I'm going with Man of Steel even if sequels generally do better box office than non-sequels. Even with fandango86 preparing to see Lone Ranger at least 8 times.

    Top 5 (in no particular order):
    Man of Steel
    Star Trek Into Darkness
    Iron Man 3
    Lone Ranger
    The Hangover Part III
     
  2. crippledalbino

    crippledalbino The God of 42nd Street
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    I like your list, except I'd knock out Hangover in place of Despicable Me 2, and I think Man of Steel is gonna tank. That's not an indication of if it will be good or not, that of course remains to be seen, but I think it's just not gonna call to anyone except people who are ultimately going to write disappointing things about it.
     
  3. LiddyRules

    LiddyRules I'm Gonna Be The Bestest Pilot In The Whole Galaxy

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    You hate 2/5 of my list. That means I get a 60 at best.

    Though I do think choosing Man of Steel as #1 is stupid because of the sequel rule. Then I guess it would be between Iron Man III and Star Trek II but I can't see either of them being the biggest movie of the summer.

    EDIT: The reason I choose Hangover III is that as bad as the second one was, a) I think people like the franchise and b) I think people want a bawdy comedy and the only other one I saw one starring Will Ferrell/Owen Wilson/Vince Vaughn called The Internship.

    I also don't know about audiences flocking to Pacific Rim, even if it does have both Jax and Clay from Sons of Anarchy in it. But that might be a sleeper hit. Is it supposed to be PG-13 or R? I assume PG-13.
     
  4. crippledalbino

    crippledalbino The God of 42nd Street
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    I'm trying to be a kinder, gentler crip and not just insult the shit out of you for picking a movie I don't agree with.

    Since you're in many ways our resident movie guy, what about a list of the smaller movies for some predictions on which unknown movies are going to hit huge, like the first Hangover did, or Big Fat Greek Wedding did, for example.
     
  5. fletcher

    fletcher Darkness always says hello.
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    Monster University is going to be the big money winner next summer. Mark it.
     
  6. Pigdango

    Pigdango Silence, you mortal Fuck!
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    Iron Man 3 is a virtual lock for $400 million. I'd love to see Man of Steel challenge that number, and think that it will. Those will be the top 2 by a wide margin. Skyfall's surprising( to everyone but me) success does open the door for Star Trek to possibly get to $300. The remaining two spots will be Monsters U and Hangover 3

    Out of the rest, only Despicable Me 2 is a threat to crack $200.
     
  7. crippledalbino

    crippledalbino The God of 42nd Street
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    Are you talking domestic or worldwide here?
     
  8. Pigdango

    Pigdango Silence, you mortal Fuck!
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    Domestic, although I did get mixed up about Fast 6. Take that out of the $200 club
     
  9. ruckstande

    ruckstande Posts mostly from the shitter.

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    They're remaking Dead Heat?
     
  10. CougarHunter

    CougarHunter Lying causes cat piss smell.

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    Original ideas: Try buying one.
     
  11. BIV

    BIV I'm Biv Dick Black, the Over Poster.

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    Just checked. Star Trek did $257,730,019.

    I think Into Dark that is Scary Dark will do better, but not top 400K.

    Not sure if IM3 will either, especially after 2 was such a suck fest. IM2 was 312,433,331 and IM 1 did
    318,412,101.

    Needs a huge bounce from Avengers to crack 400k and I think too much time may have lapsed.

     
  12. thekidslepthere

    thekidslepthere Registered User

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    Iron Man 3 should be the top movie of the summer. If not ever. Okay maybe not ever. But I still think it wins the Summer.

    I agree with Liddy's top 5, except for Hangover 3. It might be one of the biggest R rated movies of all time, but that still won't be top 5 of all money makers next summer.
     
  13. Stormrider666

    Stormrider666 Hell is home.

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    Yeah I can see that. Especially after just watching the new trailer for the Man of Steel.
     
  14. mr. sin

    mr. sin Registered User

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    Fast and Furious 6- May 24
    The Hangover Part III- May 24
    World War Z- June 21
    The Wolverine- July 26 maybe
     
  15. LiddyRules

    LiddyRules I'm Gonna Be The Bestest Pilot In The Whole Galaxy

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    A year? A year is no time in movie world. It was three years between Batman Begins and Dark Knight. I can't see Iron Man III breaking $400 million, but that depends on if it has something to draw people in again and again. But yeah, Iron Man III probably would be #1 unless one of those other movies really surprises everyone.

    Hangover Part I was #6 of 2009 with $277 million and beaten by Avatar, Transformers, Harry Potter and the Half Blood, Twilight Saga New Moon, and Up (with two of those coming out in the fall/winter. It also beat Star Trek and Sherlock Holmes)

    Hangover Part II was #4 of 2011 with $254 and beaten by Twilight Breaking Dawn #1, Transformers 3, and Harry Potter Deathly Hallows #2.

    Ted ($218) was #8 this year being beaten by Avengers, Dark Knight, Hunger Games (which surprisingly broke $400 million and the sequel might very well end up being 2013's highest grossing film), Twilight BD2, Skyfall, Spiderman, and Brave- which also makes it #5 for summer 2012.

    I don't know how well people liked Hangover Part II, I personally didn't, but I don't doubt its potential viability.

    However, I didn't take into account Monsters U. or Despicable Me 2 because animated films do tend to do quite well.
     
  16. Neckbeard

    Neckbeard I'm Team Piggy!

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    Grown Ups II is my dark horse. That movie did retarded business. It did 271 million in Amurrrika in 2010. I think it is a total threat for 300 million.
     
  17. Pigdango

    Pigdango Silence, you mortal Fuck!
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    Normally I'd agree with you but it will be stymied by Hangover 3 and Adam Sandler is in a major box office rut, as is Kevin James.

    After doing some research, here's my predictions:

    Iron Man 3 - $430
    Man of Steel - $360
    Monsters U - $340
    Star Trek -$310
    Despicable Me 2 - $275
    Hangover 3 - $220
    Fast 6 - $190
    Grown Ups 2 - $185
    Wolverine - $170
    Smurfs 2- $140
    Lone Ranger - $125

    I may amend this as it gets closer and we see if there's any buzz on Epic, Pacific Rim, After Earth, World War Z, and White House Down. All of those have $100 million dollar potential. I may also drop expectations on the Lone Ranger if Depp's performance stirs up any controversy, which I sincerely believe is possible.
     
  18. Neckbeard

    Neckbeard I'm Team Piggy!

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    I can buy that but I still feel like Grown Ups 2 cracks 200 million.

    None o the films you mentioned are 200 million caliber apart from After Earth, just cuz Will Smith and M. Nigtht and World War Z with the zombie thing that is petering out but still exists.
     
  19. AlanSmithee

    AlanSmithee Registered User

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    I'm pumped for Pacific Rim. We havn't had a good Giant monster movie in a long time. I just checked out the trailer and it gave me a boner.
     
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  20. thekidslepthere

    thekidslepthere Registered User

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    Pacific Rim trailer has me thinking it may make a lot of money.

     
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  21. BIV

    BIV I'm Biv Dick Black, the Over Poster.

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    That looks fucking cool. I like the GLaDOS voice for the robot computer.
     
  22. Pigdango

    Pigdango Silence, you mortal Fuck!
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    Really doesn't bode well for your Lone Ranger prediction.

    Still, I'm not sure - Godzilla meets Transformers meets Real Steel? I also hate movies like this where all the action takes place at night or in the rain. I'd put it's box office potential in the $80 to $150 range.
     
  23. thekidslepthere

    thekidslepthere Registered User

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    There's almost 2 weeks between Lone Ranger and Pacific Rim. I stand by my opening week prediction.
     
  24. LiddyRules

    LiddyRules I'm Gonna Be The Bestest Pilot In The Whole Galaxy

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    I was wondering if the JJ Abrams/Star Wars news will give Star Trek a bump to put it above Iron Man 3 in box office receipts. Probably not, but I'm just putting it out there. I also just realized we haven't gotten anything like a trailer from The Hangover 3 yet.
     
  25. DR. Jimcy M.E.

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    Pacific Rim took the Big O robot and even stole the signature hammer punch. Booooo.
     

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