Tropical Storm/Hurricane Dean Thread...

GoCamels

Hark the sound of Tar Heel voices...
Aug 19, 2005
1,396
0
0
Graveyard Of The Atlantic
#1
"WE ALL GONNA DIE!!!"'

Here we go folks...the first big one of the season forming up in the Central Atlantic. 10-14 days out from my ass having beachfront property on the soundside of the Outer Banks. Fire away, folks, FIRE AWAY

When you wake up in the morning, get ready for this to be lead story for all the mainstream moron morning shows.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/132054.shtml
 

Fruit Monkey

Don't stare at it eat it! P-1 In trainning
Oct 4, 2004
5,416
0
216
Intransit
#2
ok and im now living in john from cincinatis world (spooky music plays in the background)
 

Creampier

I have to return some videotapes!
May 11, 2007
748
0
366
Somerville, NJ
#3
Damn, my sister is supposed to go down on vacation to OBX at the end of the month!

Better tell her to change her plans!
 

Budyzir

There's nothing quite like a shorn scrotum.
Nov 12, 2004
7,307
1
0
Queens, NY
#4
"WE ALL GONNA DIE!!!"'

Here we go folks...the first big one of the season forming up in the Central Atlantic. 10-14 days out from my ass having beachfront property on the soundside of the Outer Banks. Fire away, folks, FIRE AWAY

When you wake up in the morning, get ready for this to be lead story for all the mainstream moron morning shows.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/132054.shtml
GC, from the initial looks of it, the Outer Banks have no worries. NC is too far north.

The model runs have the TS Dean staying south. It looks like a Gulf of Mexico storm.



The 5 day forecast reflects this. Looks like Puerto Rico and Haiti / Domican Republic will catch some.



The problem is that the Gulf of Mexico is way warm;



In the 80s F. This should help further development. Question is, does it recurve north and head to the gulf states or head west and hit Mexico. Way to early to tell.
 

Sct Ptersns Twn

Looking 4 a New 1st Mate
Dec 4, 2005
7,617
127
536
Gloucestershire
#5
"WE ALL GONNA DIE!!!"'

Here we go folks...the first big one of the season forming up in the Central Atlantic. 10-14 days out from my ass having beachfront property on the soundside of the Outer Banks. Fire away, folks, FIRE AWAY

When you wake up in the morning, get ready for this to be lead story for all the mainstream moron morning shows.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/132054.shtml
I am leaving for Corolla on Saturday. :action-sm Hopefully it will kick up some nice waves for me.
 

GoCamels

Hark the sound of Tar Heel voices...
Aug 19, 2005
1,396
0
0
Graveyard Of The Atlantic
#7
Sct Petersen...blow the horn on the way by, I'll be packing for a camping trip up to Surry County, VA (going to look for some more Michael Vick dog bones).

Model tracks look good for us, and BAAAAAD for Cancun...but its still WAY WAY WAY early.
 

Myhairygrundle

Screw you guys, I'm going home.
Jul 16, 2005
6,797
1,943
543
Texas
#8
Come on Dean! I could use a small storm here... I need the fucking work!
 

Budyzir

There's nothing quite like a shorn scrotum.
Nov 12, 2004
7,307
1
0
Queens, NY
#9
Just took a look at the latest stuff, still looks like a Gulf of Mexico storm. Models still don't show any clue of recurvature so, look term bet would be Texas or Mexico.
 

Myhairygrundle

Screw you guys, I'm going home.
Jul 16, 2005
6,797
1,943
543
Texas
#10
I was talking to my Pop who works at NASA and he said they think it's coming to Houston.

I call bullshit. You never know until about 36 hours before. Look at this model of Rita. It ran on 9/21/05. Rita hit on the TX/LA border on 9/24/05.

Fucking media loves to scare folks. You know they are being silly geese, but you still get that bad feeling.

I am going to stock up on supplies and buy a generator just in case. And by "supplies" I mean about 200 rounds of 00 buckshot and slugs for my Mossberg 500.


Shot at 2007-08-16
 

Special Eddie

I'M A VIOLENT EXTREMIST!
Feb 28, 2005
1,364
4
433
Rockland, New York
#11
I'll be driving down to Orlando tomorrow with the family for 2 weeks.
I hope Dean comes close enough to cool things off a little.
 

BIV

I'm Biv Dick Black, the Over Poster.
Apr 22, 2002
78,198
27,234
898
Seattle
#12
Hurricane Dean:
 

Budyzir

There's nothing quite like a shorn scrotum.
Nov 12, 2004
7,307
1
0
Queens, NY
#14


Looks like most of the model tracks are being influenced to the south. The blue track is a anomaly, if I remember correctly the GFDL model focuses on the center track of the storm and is a short range model.

I hope one one has any immediate vacation plans in the Yucatan.
 

Jerry1

Megatron Star!
Jan 26, 2006
3,338
2
228
Brooklyn, New York
#15
Bit of an update here....

Hurricane Dean moves toward Jamaica By JONATHAN M. KATZ, Associated Press Writer
32 minutes ago



SANTO DOMINGO, Dominican Republic - Alarmed tourists jammed Caribbean airports for flights out of Hurricane Dean's path Saturday as the monster storm began sweeping past the Dominican Republic and Haiti and threatened to engulf Jamaica and the Cayman Islands.


In Santo Domingo, the capital of the Dominican Republic, a boy was pulled into the ocean and drowned while watching waves kicked up by the Category 4 storm strike an oceanfront boulevard, the emergency operations center reported. The rough waves also destroyed five houses and damaged 15 along the Dominican coast, emergency officials said.

In Jamaica and the Cayman Islands, which stand directly in Dean's path, fear gripped many islanders and tourists alike.

Bracing for the storm to hit on Sunday, Jamaica issued a hurricane warning and began evacuating people to more than 1,000 shelters nationwide. People jammed supermarkets and hardware stores in the capital of Kingston to stock up on canned food, bottled water, flashlights, batteries, lamps and plywood, while shop owners hammered wood over windows at malls in the city.

Resident Elaine Russell said she was getting ready for the storm remembering Hurricane Ivan's destruction in 2004. "I can't take it," she said. "The storm is bad enough but it's what happens afterward — there's no light, no water."

Before dawn, tourists began lining up outside the Montego Bay airport in western Jamaica to book flights out. The storm, which had maximum sustained winds of 145 mph late Saturday, was expected to bring as much as 20 inches of rain to the island.

Shante Morgan of Moorpark, Calif., said a lack of information about the severity of the storm was fueling the fear.

"People are freaking out because they're not getting answers at their hotel," said Morgan, 38, who got a Saturday flight after waiting several hours. "They're really playing down the potential influence of the hurricane."

Jamaican Prime Minister Portia Simpson Miller called for a halt to campaigning for the Aug. 27 general elections, saying: "Let us band together and unite in the threat of this hurricane."

Further west in the low-lying Cayman Islands, the government issued a hurricane warning late Saturday and ordered a mandatory evacuation by noon Sunday of Little Cayman, the smallest of the territory's three islands. The islands were expected to take a direct hit on Monday.

Earlier in the day, lines of tourists waiting for flights snaked out of the international airport terminal and onto the lawn outside. Many tourists flopped under a tree to get out of the sun, surrounded by their luggage. Cayman Airways added 15 flights to Florida from the wealthy British territory, and they were quickly sold out.

The scene was relatively calmer in the Dominican Republic. Residents ran errands at stores with fully stocked shelves, despite government advisories about heavy rains and possible flooding.

"Nothing's going to happen here — a lot of water but nothing else," said Pedro Alvajar, 61, as he sat in a doorway selling lottery tickets.

The outer bands of the storm were expected to bring as much as 10 inches of rain to the Dominican Republic and Haiti, which share the island of Hispaniola.

In Haiti, the government issued radio alerts for people in the mountains and coastal areas. In 2004, Tropical Storm Jeanne brushed the impoverished and heavily deforested country, triggering massive floods that killed 1,900 people and left 900 others missing.

Dean, the first hurricane of the Atlantic season, gained strength over warm Caribbean waters after claiming six lives and devastating banana and sugar crops when it hit tiny islands in the eastern Caribbean on Friday as a Category 2 storm.

As of 2 a.m. Sunday, Dean was centered about 295 miles east-southeast of Kingston and 155 miles south-southwest of Port-au-Prince, Haiti. It was moving west-northwest at 17 mph.

The storm was expected to clip Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and enter the Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

Authorities on Mexico's Caribbean coast began evacuating tourists and residents from low-lying Holbox island north of Cancun on Saturday. A total of 2,200 people, including some 250 Mexican and foreign tourists, were ordered to leave, state officials said.

Forecasters said it was too soon to say whether the hurricane would strike the United States.

Worried the storm could disrupt operations at Mission Control in Houston, however, NASA shortened the last spacewalk for astronauts aboard the shuttle Endeavour and ordered the spacecraft to return to Earth a day early on Tuesday.

President Bush, meanwhile, signed a pre-landfall emergency disaster declaration for Texas, allowing the federal government to immediately send people, equipment and supplies to the state if Dean makes landfall there.

In Cuba, which could get rain from the outer bands of the storm, the government issued a tropical storm warning and said it was evacuating 50,000 people from three provinces.

Dean passed near the islands of St. Lucia and Martinique early Friday as a Category 2 storm with winds near 100 mph.

In St. Lucia, fierce winds tore corrugated metal roofs from dozens of homes and the pediatric ward of a hospital, whose patients had been evacuated hours earlier. Police spokeswoman Tamara Charles said a 62-year-old man drowned when he tried to retrieve a cow from a rain-swollen river.

In Dominica, a woman and her 7-year-old son were killed when a rain-soaked hillside gave way and crushed the home where they were sleeping, said Cecil Shillingford, the national disaster response coordinator. Dominica's government reported at least 150 homes were damaged.

Authorities said two people died on the French island of Martinique, including a woman who apparently fell and drowned.

___
A part of he the story said that space shuttle Endeverrrrrr was orderd to return a day early cause of the storm. You know those poor astronauts were really happy about that.